While at once denying he is predicting the future Bernard Bull offers here a set of precisely state projections describing what to expect. I appreciate the precision; I find more value in a projection that says "the number of families opting for homeschooling will increase from 3% to 6%", even if it turns out to be wrong, that I do a hand-waving reference to some unstated alternative to classrooms. Such projections give us possibilities we can entertain and prompt us to ask for specific evidence one way or another; for example, when we say "undergraduate residential enrollment will be 10-15% below pre-COVID budgeted projection," now we look for signs that might raise or lower that number. If we see more blog posts, news articles, podcasts, etc. on a subject, activity in the field usually follows. I think the projections here are conservative, but I wouldn't doubt the directionality of any of them.
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