The “Academic Great Gatsby Curve” in Philosophy
The “Great Gatsby Curve” describes the positive correlation between “income inequality” and “intergenerational income persistence” (lack of income mobility). An academic Great Gatsby curve refers to a positive correlation between academic inequality and intergenerational persistence.
The existence and extent of an academic Great Gatsby curve is the subject of a new study by Ye Sun, Fabio Caccioli, Xiancheng Li, and Giacomo Livan published in the Journal of the Royal Society Interface.
The authors take “academic inequality” to refer to “the uneven distribution of opportunity and academic impact”, operationalized in terms of volume of citations, and “intergenerational persistence” as “the influence that a mentor’s status may have on their protégés’ academic success.” That latter quality is determined by measuring “the similarity between the positions of mentors and their mentees in the impact rankings of their discipline: the higher the rank–rank correlation, the more a mentee’s scientific impact is correlated to that of their mentor, the higher the intergenerational persistence.”
They analyzed data on over 300,000 academics across 22 disciplines who in total published close to 10 million papers between 2000 and 2013 and found that an academic Great Gatsby curve indeed exists. They also found that, by their measures, both academic inequality and academic intergenerational persistence were on the rise during the studied period.
A breakdown of the correlation by discipline finds it in philosophy, which, according to the study, has both the most academic inequality and the least academic mobility:

The academic Great Gatsby Curve: More inequality is associated with more impact persistence across academic generations. Citation inequality is measured by the Gini coefficient, using the cumulative number of citations authors (including both mentors and mentees) have received from the papers published within a 5-year time window before the final mentorship year, within 5 years after publication. Mentor–mentee pairs are pooled over time per cohort (with the same final mentorship year) to compute the impact persistence and inequality metrics. The error bars in vertical and horizontal directions refer to the standard deviation of the mean over cohorts. The point size of each discipline is proportional to the number of mentor–mentee pairs considered in our analysis. The solid line and the shaded area represent the regression line (with annotated Pearson’s 𝑟 and 𝑝-values) and the 95% confidence intervals, respectively. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1. Based on figure 3 from “The Academic Great Gatsby Curve” by Ye Sun, Fabio Caccioli, Xiancheng Li and Giacomo Livan.
One conclusion the researchers draw is that “academic impact—as quantified by citations—is to some extent inherited. As such, citation-based bibliometric indicators should be handled with care when used to assess the performance of academics.”
They also comment on the analogical basis of their study, and its limits:
We find that academia is not immune from the phenomenon of intergenerational persistence, which has been widely documented in the social sciences across dimensions such as income, wealth and occupation. We examined intergenerational academic persistence by analogizing academic mentors and mentees to parents and children, and academic impact (as measured with citations) to income. The persistence of income through genealogical generations and the persistence of impact through academic ones both reflect the transmission of resources and status, and they capture the extent to which the success of one generation may depend on that of the previous one. However, while there is a clear analogy between the mechanisms at play in these two contexts, there are also obvious differences. On the one hand, both mechanisms involve the inheritance of a network, be it social, professional or both. On the other hand, the transfer of economic status is—to a good extent—mechanistic, as it is grounded upon the inheritance of wealth. The transfer of academic status is instead grounded upon the inheritance of intangibles, such as knowledge and visibility. Additionally, an important distinction lies in the fact that mentor–mentee pairings are determined by choices made by both parties (as opposed to parents and children). More successful mentors may have the privilege of being more selective in their choice of mentees, and vice versa, leading to a positive correlation between their impact, even in the absence of causal effects.
You can check out the study here.
This is very interesting! But I wonder how much the effect is simply the result of the data collection mechanism. In the case of philosophy, the use of the Academic Family Tree as the data source. From the paper:
“We collected genealogical data on mentorship relationships from the Academic Family Tree (AFT, Academictree.org), including 245 506 mentor–mentee relationships among 304 395 authors who published 9 809 145 papers across 22 disciplines. For each author, we record the person’s ID, name, gender, affiliation and discipline. For each mentor–mentee relationship, we record the IDs of the mentor and mentee, the mentorship type (i.e. graduate student, postdoc or research assistant), the institution where the mentorship took place, and the first and final mentorship years.”
Look, for example, at the Rawls node on the tree: https://academictree.org/philosophy/tree.php?pid=755854&fontsize=1&pnodecount=5&cnodecount=2
I suspect Rawls had more than the 20 students listed there as students over the course of his career. But maybe not? At any rate, the fact that 15+ of them became leading people in the field makes me think that entries are not complete, but instead already reflect prominence. (People only list those who stayed in the field, are influential in the field, etc.) That would of course skew the effect significantly.
Of course, it is possible that philosophy just is that skewed, and Rawls really did only have 20 students over his career! Does anyone know?
Also, I’d be curious if other fields are more reliable/methodical in using Academic Family Tree. I feel like most people I know in philosophy have not heard of it, do not take the time to list their students or list themselves, etc.
I see that the focus was on mentoring that occurred from 2000-2013, so Rawls would at most be an example of the kind of concern, but wouldn’t himself be in the study. I can’t seem to find where in the Academic Family Tree that time/year is indicated, but that might blunt some of the concern I raised, if things are more comprehensive later (as the authors of the paper suggest). But I wonder whether that is true in philosophy? Perhaps the same prominence effect continues…
I just checked how many students Martha Nussbaum is listed as having, and it’s way fewer than the ones she actually has had. As you say, it’s not clear if this applies equally to all fields, though.
Thanks to your comment, Alex, I’ll add myself! I actually heard of it and thought I was already on it but I was mistaken. I wonder how many are in this situation.
I’m sure it is incomplete. E.g., Tony Laden is not listed there — I believe he was Rawls’s last advisee.
A picture is worth a thousand words.
That legitimately made me tear up in a way that something with TMNT in it really shouldn’t
The broader clustering also seems very odd. I can’t think of a single other trait e.g. education, math, and anthrology would score highly on while e.g. biology and exp psych would be low on. Readers should also note the wide CIs and heavily truncated axis – the difference between the highest and lowest inequality scores is only .12
That academic inequality is “operationalized in terms of volume of citations” gives me pause. Philosophers are not known for high volumes of citations.
It also might be subfield-specific too. E.g. bioethics or subfields of philosophy of science will have many more citations per article than ancient philosophy or metaphysics. Insofar as students inherit the subfields of their mentors, this could skew results.
I guess I worry rather a lot about the limits of this study. The authors just look at the correlation between the academic impact of mentors and that of their students. But, as they say, “more successful mentors may have the privilege of being more selective in their choice of mentees, and vice versa, leading to a positive correlation between their impact even, in the absence of causal effects.” It seems to me this obviously happens. The best students go work with the best researchers. How much of the correlation here is due to these selection effects rather than any genuinely causal impact of mentors on their mentees? How much do these selection effects vary by field? I have no idea. As far as I can tell, this study doesn’t shed any light on these questions. You need a very different study design to pin down causality on this kind of issue.
Without some actual data to prove that, I’d be hard pressed to agree.
While that is not exactly the same thing, there IS data showing that grad students in higher-prestige institutions are many times more likely to end up as professors in these institutions, while grad students in lower-prestige ones are very unlikely to climb up, and more likely to leave academia. Concerns about who ends up in prestigious institutions are also widespread – DEI policies are advocated for a reason.
Numbers of citations (and I suspecr oother measures of prestige as well, although the study focused only on citations) ending up biased towards students advised by already prestigious scientists is a different thing, and them ‘being able to select better students’ might play a role.
But much as what happens with entrance and permanence in prestigious institutions, I feel putting it down only, or mainly, to ‘ability to select for skill’ is turning a blind eye to the underlying social processes.
Those tend to act in similar ways in many instances – Merton’s Matthew Effect, Preferential Attachment and the persistence of wealth inequality have many things in common. It’s hard to believe other aspects of science would be less affected.
at the risk of saying little, this article is dope
I think the limitations decrease the significance of the result for philosophy, but I’m fascinated by the differences among the disciplines. (Some of which may be due to the limitations being unequally limiting across disciplines.)
Two comments:
(1) The relation may not be entirely causal. Presumably, higher status supervisors have their pick of more talented students, so there could well be some self-sorting here.
(2) Philosophy is enough of an outlier here that I wonder how much leverage it has on the correlation. What would r drop to if philosophy were removed?
This is very interesting: and the language used is as interesting as the content.
As in math, verbal communication would do well to seek the ‘lowest common denominator’ in expressive terms. It makes for better communication.
In other words, use words that most people easily understand and that adequately express the ideas at hand.
Ironically, the language in this article serves very much as a screening device, preventing less educated people from understanding. Is that too simple to understand? (said with sarcasm 😉 )