Content-type: text/html Downes.ca ~ Stephen's Web ~ The number of 18-year-olds is about to drop sharply, packing a wallop for colleges - and the economy

Stephen Downes

Knowledge, Learning, Community

Jon Marcus, "The long-predicted downturn in the number of 18-year-olds is almost here. And the enrollment cliff isn't just a problem for universities and colleges.' This article treats it as an American phenomenon, but as the age pyramid for Canada shows (image), the exact same scenarios faces us as well, as they do some other countries, through they're handling it differently. Given how institutional budgets have suffered recently just from the drop in international student visas, we can reasonably expect a similar or even greater impact from broader population shifts. This is also why we should be increasing, not reducing, immigration, though that's a separate argument. All else being equal, institutions should be looking either to contracting by 25% or so or to serving that many more adult learners (which, note, will not happen in traditional classrooms and four-year full time programs). 

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Stephen Downes Stephen Downes, Casselman, Canada
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Last Updated: Jan 09, 2025 11:57 a.m.

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