The assertion that "you can't predict the future" is usually the first step for a song and dance. You can, of course, predict the future - otherwise, we would never eat, we would be afraid to sleep, and unable to take a single step outside. What you can't do is use static linear models to predict the future - but every serious futurist knows that. Same with "behavioral economics is about slight of hand." If this were true, we'd never know how long to make left-turn lanes (or even whether to make them at all), stores would always run out of stock, and restaurants would have no reason to close between midnight and 6:00 a.m. So I think Gina Minks is quote right to criticize Leonard Brody's keynote (and I find myself wishing she had stood up and said something). See also John Connell, who asks, "Who are ther information imposters?" Not that it helps to out them - I see that crockus proponent Dan Hodgins is still packing them in (and here, and in Canada too). How sad.
Today: 1 Total: 86 [Direct link] [Share]
