If I'm surfing the web and my browser suddenly becomes unresponsive and slow, generally one of two things has happened: either I've hit some Java, which will eat its way through the most robust computer, or I've hit some Flash, which will devour the most stable browser. So from this I think that the era of Flash is nearing an end. But not quickly, because there isn't really a good alternative for video, and small agile Flash games continue to be incredibly popular.
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