From where I sit, these estimates seem surprisingly low. I'll let Irving Wladawsky-Berger summarize: "This past July, McKinsey published a second article on its automation study, which examined in more detail the technical feasibility of automating 7 different occupational activities:
- Physical work in predictable environments, e.g., manufacturing, food service: 78% automatable;
- Physical work in unpredictable environments, e.g., construction, agriculture: 25%;
- Processing data, e.g., finance, retail: 69%;
- Data collection, e.g., transportation, utilities: 64%;
- Stakeholder interactions, e.g., retail, finance: 20%;
- Expertise in decision making, planning, creative tasks, e.g., professional, education: 18%;
- Managing others, e.g., management, education: 9%;
A companion interactive website adds the ability to analyze the automation potential of over 800 occupations based on the study's data sets." But whether or now the numbers are low, they point clearly to the fact that traditional job training is not preparing people for the future.
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