Content-type: text/html Downes.ca ~ Stephen's Web ~ Aggregated knowledge from a small number of debates outperforms the wisdom of large crowds

Stephen Downes

Knowledge, Learning, Community

This paper (27 page PDF) looks at alternative methods of obtaining a consensus from a group of people (aka 'the wisdom of crowds'). While it's true that a crowd can outperform an individual, the authors suggest that dividing the crowd into small groups of five, and having the five come to a consensus, can when averaged produce better results than average produced by the large crowd. This is the basis behind a lot of 'small group' methodologies, such as the world cafe. "This  result supports political  theories postulating that authentic deliberation, and not simply voting, can lead to better democratic decisions," the authors write.

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Stephen Downes Stephen Downes, Casselman, Canada
stephen@downes.ca

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Last Updated: Nov 03, 2024 2:55 p.m.

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