Content-type: text/html Downes.ca ~ Stephen's Web ~ 2019 eLearning Predictions – Hype Curve

Stephen Downes

Knowledge, Learning, Community

I might have done this chart differently, but I like the way they've documented their process and made it harder to make a case against their hype cycle diagram. But where I disagree: they have blockchain right at the start, pre-hype, while I would have put it at peak hype a year ago. Learning analytics is still on the upslope, while I would have it on the downslope. VR is on the upslope and, again, I would have put it on the downslope. MOOCs are in the trough where they should be. AI might be peaking around now, or it might be on the downslope. This time next year people will realize they were getting giddy about applied statistics. Totally missing from the diagram: cloud, data, identity, open pedagogy, and agency.

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Stephen Downes Stephen Downes, Casselman, Canada
stephen@downes.ca

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Last Updated: Dec 23, 2024 9:55 p.m.

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