Work in 2030
Alex Usher,
Higher Education Strategies Associates,
Jun 04, 2020
Good discussion and review of a work futures study Ahead By A Decade: Employment in 2030 published last week by the Brookfield Institute in comparison with similar work done by the "Canadian Occupational Projection System" (COPS). COPS has difficulties with resource sector employment employment, which depends so much on world prices, and public service employment, which depends on demand, and it does not handle disruptive innovation well, say Alex Usher. Brookfield, meanwhile, is "working out what kinds of disruptive change might affect the labour market over the next decade." But it lacks the range and depth of input COPS has. The result is "COPS and Brookfield are using fundamentally different and, I would argue, equally unreliable methodologies. But – and this is the good thing – they are symmetrically unreliable." So, says Usher, the truth probably lies somehwere in the middle.
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